So with the selection of the World Cup hosts for the years 2018 and 2022 coming up, I figured I would give my best shot at figuring out who it will be. The best way to do that is by analyzing the structure of the vote; a secret ballot taken after all the bids have made their proposals in Zurich, the results of which will be released on Thursday. But the process starts well before that:
First, bidding countries' delegations submit to a contractual agreement that outlines what is expected of a strong bid. Second, Inspectors from FIFA tour the various countries to determine if the countries meet the requirements of hosting the World Cup. Then, finally, we get to this point today when the FIFA Executive Committee votes based on the final presentations of the respective delegations.
We can use these three factors and apply it to the committee itself. There is a bit of speculation that with both World Cup votes taking place on the same ballot, that vote trading could be taking place amongst the committee, but we won't really know for sure even after the vote comes out. I made my predictions based on the strengths and weaknesses of each bid, go down the list of committee members one by one and tally up my guess as to who they would vote for based on potential political or geographical interplay. you can find out more information on the FIFA Executive Committee by following the link
Name Nationality 2018 2022
Sepp Blatter Switzerland England Australia
President of FIFA, against games at altitude, disfavors goal line technology, apologized to Mexico and England for mistakes in officiating at the World Cup in South Africa (the USA didnt get quite as much sympathy after the Slovenia game). Being president of FIFA means you hold some influence, which countries try to buy by awarding him various national honours, which you can see here.
Name Nationality 2018 2022
Julio Grondona Argentina Spain/Portugal USA
Senior Vice-President
Name Nationality 2018 2022
Vice-Presidents
Issa Hayatou Cameroon Russia Qatar
Chung Moon Jong South Korea England South Korea
Jack Warner Trinidad and Tobago Spain/Portugal USA
Angel Maria Villar Spain Spain/Portugal USA
Michel Platini France Spain/Portugal Australia
Reynald Temari Tahiti England Australia
Geoff Thompson England England Australia
Name Nationality 2018 2022
Members of the Committee
Franz Beckenbauer Germany England USA
Michel D'Hooghe Belgium Netherlands/Belgium Japan
Ricardo Terra Teixera Brazil Spain/Portugal USA
Mohammed Bin Mammam Qatar Russia Qatar
Senes Erzik Turkey England Qatar
Chuck Blazer USA Spain/Portugal USA
Nicolas Leoz Paraguay Spain/Portugal USA
Worawi Makudi Thailand Russia Australia
Junji Ogura Japan Netherlands/Belgium Japan
Amos Adamu Nigeria England USA
Marios Lefkaritis Cyprus England Qatar
Jacques Anouma Ivory Coast England Australia
Rafael Salguero Guatemala Spain/Portugal USA
Hany Abo Rida Egypt England Qatar
Vitaly Mutko Russia Russia Qatar
Name Nationality 2018 2022
Jerome Valcke France England Australia
General Secretary
My speculative results:
2018: England: 10, Spain/Portugal: 8, Russia: 4, Netherlands/Belgium: 2
2022: USA: 9, Qatar: 6, Australia: 6, Japan: 2, South Korea: 1
We'll see how it turns out
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